Teammate Head-to-Head Dominance

Overview

This pillar analyzes the most reliable baseline metric in Formula 1: a driver's performance relative to their teammate in equal machinery. It cuts through the noise of car advantages to reveal true driver skill.

What It Does

The pillar systematically tracks and compares qualifying and race results between teammates. It calculates head-to-head win percentages and the average performance gap across multiple sessions. This isolates individual driver form by neutralizing the significant variable of car performance.

Why It Matters

In a sport dominated by technology, this provides the purest signal of a driver's pace and racecraft. This insight is highly predictive for markets focused on driver matchups, where understanding the small edges between teammates is critical for success.

How It Works

First, the system ingests official qualifying and race results after each Grand Prix. It then pairs teammates and logs a 'win' for the driver who finishes ahead in qualifying and the race, provided both drivers finish. Finally, it aggregates these results into season-long scores and rolling averages to show dominance trends.

Methodology

Two primary scores are calculated: Qualifying H2H and Race H2H. These are simple win-loss counts for each teammate pairing. Race H2H only counts results where both drivers finished the race to avoid penalizing for mechanical failures. An 'Average Qualifying Gap' is also calculated in seconds, using the time difference in the final completed session for both drivers.

Edge & Advantage

It offers a pure signal of driver skill, filtering out the car performance differences that mislead most bettors and create market inefficiencies.

Key Indicators

• Qualifying H2H Score

  high

  The win/loss record in qualifying sessions between teammates.

• Race H2H Score

  high

  The win/loss record in race finishes between teammates, excluding DNFs.

• Average Qualifying Gap

  medium

  The average time difference in seconds between teammates in their final qualifying session.

Data Sources

• FIA Official Results

  Official timing, classification, and race results from the sport's governing body.

• Ergast F1 API

  A comprehensive historical database of motor racing data, including all F1 seasons.

Example Questions This Pillar Answers

• → Will Lewis Hamilton out-qualify George Russell at the British Grand Prix?
• → Who will score more points this season: Charles Leclerc or Carlos Sainz?
• → Will Lando Norris finish ahead of Oscar Piastri in the Monaco Grand Prix?

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