Blog
Expert analysis, strategies, and insights for Kalshi & Polymarket prediction markets.
What Is Implied Probability?
What Is Implied Probability?
Implied probability is the market's real-time estimate of an event's likelihood, derived directly from Kalshi and Polymarket contract prices. Learn how to calculate it, why it diverges from true proba
Mar 4, 2026 What Is a Limit Order in Polymarket?
What Is a Limit Order in Polymarket?
A precise breakdown of how limit orders work on Polymarket's order book, when they beat market orders, common mistakes traders make, and how PillarLab AI's 9-pillar framework helps set a defensible li
Mar 4, 2026 What Is Market Depth?
What Is Market Depth?
Market depth determines whether a quoted price on Kalshi or Polymarket is actually executable — this guide breaks down how to read order books, avoid slippage, and use PillarLab AI's 9-pillar analysis
Mar 4, 2026 What Moves Political Markets?
What Moves Political Markets?
A precise breakdown of the six real catalysts that move political prediction-market prices on Kalshi and Polymarket — polling aggregates, debates, legislative votes, cross-platform divergence, and mac
Mar 4, 2026 What Moves Sports Prediction Markets?
What Moves Sports Prediction Markets?
Injury news, liquidity depth, public flow, weather, referee tendencies, and cross-platform spreads all move Kalshi and Polymarket sports contracts — here's how each factor works and how to systematica
Mar 4, 2026 World Cup Prediction Markets
World Cup Prediction Markets
World Cup prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket move faster than sportsbook lines — here's how to read group-stage mispricing, size knockout-round exposure, and use PillarLab AI's 9-pillar frame
Mar 4, 2026