0DTE Volume & Intraday Reversal
Catching intraday reversals via expiring options flow
Overview
This pillar analyzes the massive flow of options expiring the same day (0DTE) to pinpoint intraday support, resistance, and reversal points. It quantifies dealer gamma exposure to predict when market makers must aggressively hedge, driving short-term price action.
What It Does
It aggregates real-time transaction data for options with zero days to expiration across major indices (SPX, QQQ). It calculates the Net Gamma position of dealers to identify 'Gamma Flip' levels—price points where dealer behavior shifts from suppressing volatility to exacerbating it.
Why It Matters
0DTE options now account for over 40-50% of daily volume in major indices. Ignoring this flow means missing the dominant driver of intraday price mechanics. This pillar identifies the 'invisible walls' and 'magnets' created by massive expiring open interest.
How It Works
The system monitors the flow of calls vs. puts expiring today. It maps out the 'Gamma Profile' to see where dealers are long or short gamma. When price approaches a strike with heavy open interest, the model predicts whether dealers will defend the level (reversal) or if a breakout will trigger a feedback loop (volatility explosion).
Methodology
Calculates real-time Net GEX (Gamma Exposure) specifically for 0-day expiries. Uses a sliding window of 1-minute aggregations to track the rate of change in Open Interest and Volume. Identifies the 'Max Pain' strike and 'Gamma Flip' level dynamically throughout the trading session.
Edge & Advantage
Provides a 10-30 minute lead time on market reversals by tracking the cause (dealer hedging requirements) rather than the effect (price movement), offering a distinct advantage over lagging technical indicators.
Key Indicators
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0DTE Put/Call Ratio
highThe ratio of trading volume between bearish and bullish bets expiring today.
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Intraday Gamma Profile
highVisual map of where dealers must buy or sell to remain neutral.
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Volume Acceleration Rate
mediumThe speed at which new positions are opening, indicating panic or FOMO.
Data Sources
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OPRA Feed
Real-time consolidated options feed
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Exchange-level volume statistics for SPX/VIX
Example Questions This Pillar Answers
- → Will the S&P 500 close above 4500 today?
- → Will there be an intraday reversal in SPY before 2 PM?
- → Is the current market rally supported by call buying volume?
Tags
Use 0DTE Volume & Intraday Reversal on a real market
Run this analytical framework on any Polymarket or Kalshi event contract.
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